Peter Schiff Warns US Economy Faces ‘Worst Inflation Yet’ at VRIC Media Interview

May 17, 2026 — Longtime gold advocate and Euro Pacific Asset Management chairman Peter Schiff told VRIC Media this week that the U.S. economy is far weaker than markets realize, warning that inflation is accelerating and the Federal Reserve’s policies are making the problem worse.

Immediate Details & Direct Quotes

Schiff pointed to the year-over-year Consumer Price Index reading of 3.8%, up from 3.3% the prior month, and said the annualized April figure is running closer to 7.2%. He noted oil prices have already climbed above where they were when those calculations were made.

“The markets are really set up for a major disappointment,” Schiff told host Darrell Thomas. He warned that 30-year Treasury yields could break above 8%, a level that would inflict serious damage on U.S. government finances given the current debt load. The 20-year high currently sits around 5.1%.

Schiff also flagged the Fed’s balance sheet as a direct concern. He said it has expanded by more than $200 billion so far this year, and that the money supply is growing at a rate of at least 5%—which he called incompatible with a 2% inflation target.

Market Context & Reaction

The Fed, Schiff argued, is still holding an easing bias while inflation worsens, and markets are pricing in rate cuts that will not arrive. He expects the Fed to accelerate bond purchases, particularly if the 10-year yield breaks decisively above 4.5%. The result, he said, will be a much larger balance sheet and more inflation, not less.

On the federal debt, Schiff said the official figure of roughly $39.2 trillion understates the real problem. When unfunded liabilities like Social Security, Medicare, and pension commitments are factored in, he puts the total closer to $150 trillion. He called the U.S. “completely insolvent” as a nation and said foreign central banks have already started drawing the same conclusion, which is why gold has been moving higher.

Schiff described Social Security as a Ponzi scheme structured around government IOUs. The trust fund, he said, holds nothing but U.S. Treasury bonds, meaning the government would simply have to sell new bonds when it runs out of old ones. He advised younger Americans to exclude Social Security from any retirement planning.

Background & Historical Context

Schiff offered a straightforward comparison on gold. In 1971, an ounce of gold cost $35. Today it trades near $5,000. Burying $35 in the ground that year and digging it up today leaves someone with $35. Burying gold leaves someone with $5,000. He said the same forces driving that move over the past 50 years remain in place.

He projected gold could reach $20,000 over the next decade. Schiff said mining stocks offer better upside than the physical metal for investors with higher risk tolerance, though physical gold and silver remain essential for everyone.

Beyond his macro outlook, Schiff has been targeting Strategy Inc. chairman Michael Saylor and the company’s perpetual preferred stock, STRC. Strategy issues STRC as a high-yield product paying roughly 11.5% annually, marketed in part to income-seeking investors, including retirees.

After Saylor suggested in an early May interview at Consensus Miami that Strategy might sell bitcoin to cover STRC dividends, Schiff called the product “a pure Ponzi” on X. He posted that if Strategy ever had to choose between selling bitcoin or suspending STRC dividends, Saylor would sacrifice the dividend and crash the stock.

What This Means

Schiff’s warnings carry specific implications for investors. He sees gold, silver, and mining stocks as the primary hedge through 2026, with 30-year Treasury yields potentially hitting 8%. For those in their 20s or 30s, he said Social Security payments—if they come at all—will not carry enough purchasing power to matter.

He manages the Euro Pacific Gold Fund (EPGIX) and separately managed mining portfolios through Europac.com. He also operates schiffgold.com, where clients can take physical delivery or hold metal in storage through a program called T-Gold. Schiff has accused Saylor of violating SEC marketing rules by describing STRC as appropriate for retirees seeking low-risk wealth preservation, warning that retirees who lose money could win lawsuits against Strategy.

Not financial advice. Conduct your own research before making investment decisions.